Friday, September 4, 2015

Space Weather Update: 09/04/2015

By Spaceweather.com, 09/04/2015


MINOR GEOMAGNETIC STORMS: Earth is passing through a stream of solar wind, and this is causing minor (G1-class) geomagnetic storms around the Arctic Circle. Last night in Alaska, bright auroras appeared over Fairbanks, Alaska, prompting photographer Marketa S. Murray to make this self-portrait:



“It was an incredible night, and this is just the beginning of the season!” she says. Elsewhere in North America, auroras were sighted in Vermont, Michigan, and theYukon Territories.


More displays are possible tonight as Earth moves further into the solar wind stream. NOAA forecasters estimate a 25% to 40% chance of continued geomagnetic storms on Sept. 4-5. Aurora alerts: text or voice


Realtime Aurora Photo Gallery


NOCTILUCENT ROCKET EXHAUST: On Sept. 2nd, an Atlas V rocket blasted off from Cape Canaveral carrying a Navy communications satellite to orbit. The dawn launch was much anticipated by local sky watchers. Waking up early turned out to be a good decision. “What see saw blew our, and everyone’s, minds,” reports Jack Jewell, who took these pictures from a grassy hill near the NASA causeway:



“I’ve seen enough launches just before sunrise to know that sunlit rocket plumes against a darkish sky can be magical,” says Jewell. “This was one of the best.”


The Atlas V created a man-made noctilucent cloud. Water vapor in the rocket’s exhaust crystallized in the high atmosphere, creating an icy cloud that turned blue when it was hit by the rays of the morning sun. Years ago, space shuttle launches produced similar displays.


Natural noctilucent clouds form around Earth’s poles when water vapor in themesosphere crystalizes around meteor smoke. Sometimes they spread as far south as Colorado and Utah, but rarely or never Florida. Electric-blue over the Sunshine State requires a rocket launch. Browse the realtime photo gallery for more images of the Atlas V exhaust:


Realtime Space Weather Photo Gallery


RED AIRGLOW OVER CHILE: On Sept. 1st, astrophotographer Yuri Beletsky hiked into the Atacama Desert of Chile for a deep exposure of the Milky Way. He got that and much more. “There was a stunning display of red airglow,” he says. It surrounded the Milky Way like a celestial bulls-eye:



Airglow is aurora-like phenomenon caused by chemical reactions in the upper atmosphere. Human eyes seldom notice the faint glow, but It can be photographed on almost any clear dark night, anywhere in the world.


The curious thing about Beletsky’s photo is not the presence of airglow, but ratherits color–red. Airglow is usually green, the color of light from oxygen atoms some 90 km to 100 km above Earth’s surface. Where does the red come from? Instead of oxygen, OH can produce the required color. These neutral molecules (not to be confused with the OH- ion found in aqueous solutions) exist in a thin layer 85 km high where gravity waves impress the red glow with a dramatic rippling structure.


“It was a truly special night,” says Beletsky. “Pure tranquility.”


Realtime Sprite Photo Gallery


Realtime NLC Photo Gallery


All Sky Fireball Network


Every night, a network of NASA all-sky cameras scans the skies above the United States for meteoritic fireballs. Automated software maintained by NASA’s Meteoroid Environment Office calculates their orbits, velocity, penetration depth in Earth’s atmosphere and many other characteristics. Daily results are presented here on Spaceweather.com.


On Sep. 4, 2015, the network reported 29 fireballs.
(28 sporadics, 1 alpha Aurigid)



In this diagram of the inner solar system, all of the fireball orbits intersect at a single point–Earth. The orbits are color-coded by velocity, from slow (red) to fast (blue). [Larger image] [movies]


Near Earth Asteroids


Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs is on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time.


On September 4, 2015 there were 1608 potentially hazardous asteroids.


Recent & Upcoming Earth-asteroid encounters:
Asteroid
Date(UT)
Miss Distance
Size
2015 PT227
Aug 29
9.7 LD
69 m
2004 BO41
Aug 31
57.3 LD
1.2 km
1991 CS
Sep 4
62.1 LD
1.4 km
2014 KS76
Sep 14
8.7 LD
22 m
2004 TR12
Sep 15
58.8 LD
1.0 km
2000 FL10
Oct 10
65.7 LD
1.9 km
2011 QD48
Oct 17
67.5 LD
1.0 km
2014 UR
Oct 18
3.8 LD
21 m
2011 SE97
Oct 18
12 LD
50 m
2001 UY4
Oct 21
58.2 LD
1.0 km
2005 UL5
Nov 20
5.9 LD
390 m


Notes: LD means “Lunar Distance.” 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance between Earth and the Moon. 1 LD also equals 0.00256 AU. MAG is the visual magnitude of the asteroid on the date of closest approach.


Current Conditions


Solar wind

speed: 471.7 km/sec

density: 2.8 protons/cm3
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 1640 UT


X-ray Solar Flares

6-hr max: B1
1600 UT Sep04

24-hr: B4
0518 UT Sep04
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 1600 UT


Daily Sun: 04 Sep 15



Neither of these sunspots poses a threat for strong flares. Solar activity is very low.. Credit: SDO/HMI


Sunspot number: 27
What is the sunspot number?
Updated 04 Sep 2015


Spotless Days

Current Stretch: 0 days

2015 total: 0 days (0%)


2014 total: 1 day (<1%)

2013 total: 0 days (0%)

2012 total: 0 days (0%)

2011 total: 2 days (<1%)

2010 total: 51 days (14%)

2009 total: 260 days (71%)


Updated 04 Sep 2015


The Radio Sun

10.7 cm flux: 87 sfu
explanation | more data

Updated 04 Sep 2015


Current Auroral Oval:



Switch to: Europe, USA, New Zealand, Antarctica
Credit: NOAA/Ovation


Planetary K-index

Now: Kp= 3 quiet

24-hr max: Kp= 5
storm
explanation | more data


Interplanetary Mag. Field

Btotal: 6.9 nT

Bz: 2.7 nT south
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 1650 UT


Coronal Holes: 04 Sep 15



Solar wind flowing from the indicated coronal hole could reach Earth on Sept. 6-7. Credit: SDO/AIA.


Noctilucent Clouds


The northern season for NLCs is finished. According to NASA’s AIM spacecraft, the last clouds were observed over Greenland on Aug. 27th. Now the waiting begins for the southern season expected to begin in November.



Switch view: Europe, USA, Asia, Polar


Updated at: 09-01-2015 09:00:00


NOAA Forecasts


Updated at: 2015 Sep 03 2200 UTC


FLARE
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
CLASS M
01 %
01 %
CLASS X
01 %
01 %


Geomagnetic Storms:
Probabilities for significant disturbances in Earth’s magnetic field are given for three activity levels: active, minor storm, severe storm


Updated at: 2015 Sep 03 2200 UTC


Mid-latitudes
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
ACTIVE
20 %
25 %
MINOR
05 %
10 %
SEVERE
01 %
01 %


High latitudes
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
ACTIVE
15 %
15 %
MINOR
25 %
30 %
SEVERE
25 %
40 %







Space Weather Update: 09/04/2015

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