Sunday, August 30, 2015

Space Weather Update: 08/30/2015

By Spaceweather.com, 08/30/2015


THE *REAL* SUPERMOON IS NEXT MONTH: Many observers are calling tonight’s full Moon a “supermoon” because it is less than a day from perigee (the closest point to Earth on the Moon’s elliptical orbit). In fact, next month’s full Moon is even better. It will be less than an hour from perigee. Moreover, the supermoon ofSept. 27-28th will be eclipsed by Earth’s shadow, turning it a beautiful shade of celestial red visible from Europe, the Americas, and parts of Africa. Mark your calendar!


SIMMERING GEOMAGNETIC STORM: For the third day in a row, Earth’s magnetic field is simmering with G1-class geomagnetic storms. The drawn-out event has ignited some of the first visible auroras in months around the Arctic Circle. Just hours ago, Jaromir Stanczyk witnessed this display over Iceland:



“The season has started well,” Stanczyk says. “The auroras were bright enough to see despite the glare of the Moon.”


NOAA forcasters estimate a 60% chance of continued geomagnetic storms onAug. 29th. Earth is inside a stream of high-speed solar wind that is buffeting our planet’s magnetic field, stirring up the Arctic lights. Polar sky watchers should remain alert for auroras tonight. Aurora alerts: text or voice


Realtime Aurora Photo Gallery


THE SUN SWALLOWS A COMET: Yesterday, the sun swallowed a comet. The Solar and Heliospheric Observatory (SOHO) spotted the icy vistor from the outer solar system making a headlong plunge into our star. One comet went in; none came out. Click to play the movie:



Heated by the sun at point blankrange, the comet’s fragile ices vaporized, leaving at most a “rubble pile” of rock and gravel scattered along its sungrazing orbit. Any remains are invisible from Earth.


The comet, R.I.P., was probably a member of the Kreutz family. Kreutz sungrazersare fragments from the breakup of a single giant comet many centuries ago. They get their name from 19th century German astronomer Heinrich Kreutz, who studied them in detail. Several Kreutz fragments pass by the sun and disintegrate every day. Most, measuring less than a few meters across, are too small to see, but occasionally a bigger fragment like this one (~10 m to 50 m) attracts attention.


Because of their common parentage, sungrazers often come in clusters. For this reason, it wouldn’t be surprising to find yet another one in the offing. Monitor Karl Battam’s Sungrazing Comet twitter feed for more sightings.


Realtime Space Weather Photo Gallery


SPACE YEAST SURVIVE AND MUTATE: Yeast and people have a lot in common. About 1/3rd of our DNA is the same. Indeed, the DNA of yeast is so similar to that of humans, yeast can actually live with human genes spliced into their genetic code. This is why Spaceweather.com and the students of Earth to Sky Calculus have been flying yeast to the edge of space. Understanding how the microbes respond to cosmic rays could tell us how human cells respond as well. Here are three strains of yeast (one per test tube) flying 113,936 feet above Earth’s surface on August 15th:



The student in the picture is Joey, a high school senior, hitching a ride to the stratosphere along with the yeast. Joey and other members of the student research team are busy measuring growth curves and mutation rates for the space-traveling yeast.


One result is already clear: Yeast are incredibly tough. En route to the stratosphere they were frozen solid at temperatures as low as -63C, and they experienced dose rates of ionizing radiation 100x Earth normal. Survival rates in some of the returning samples were close to 100%.


Photo-micrographs show that yeast mutates in the stratosphere. This image, for instance, shows a colony of white mutants alongside the normal red colonies ofSaccharomyces cerevisiae (HA2):



In addition to the white mutation shown above, the students have also observedpetite mutants, which are a sign of changes in the cells’ mitochondrial genome. These changes are of interest to space biologists because the DNA repair mechanisms of yeast are remarkably similar to those of human beings. In particular, proteins encoded by yeast RAD genes are closely related to proteins used by human cells to undo radiation damage.


Another flight of the yeast is scheduled for this Wednesday, Aug. 26th. What mutants will emerge this time? Stay tuned!


HEY THANKS: The students wish to say thanks to Dan Salkovitz, who sponsored the August 15th balloon flight. In exchange for his generous donation of $500, they flew Dan himself to the edge of space:



Readers, if you would like to sponsor an upcoming student research flight, and see your favorite picture flown to the stratosphere, please contact Dr. Tony Phillips to make arrangements.


Realtime Sprite Photo Gallery


Realtime Venus Photo Gallery


Realtime NLC Photo Gallery


All Sky Fireball Network


Every night, a network of NASA all-sky cameras scans the skies above the United States for meteoritic fireballs. Automated software maintained by NASA’s Meteoroid Environment Office calculates their orbits, velocity, penetration depth in Earth’s atmosphere and many other characteristics. Daily results are presented here on Spaceweather.com.


On Aug. 30, 2015, the network reported 2 fireballs.
(2 sporadics)


Near Earth Asteroids


Potentially Hazardous Asteroids (PHAs) are space rocks larger than approximately 100m that can come closer to Earth than 0.05 AU. None of the known PHAs is on a collision course with our planet, although astronomers are finding new ones all the time.


On August 30, 2015 there were potentially hazardous asteroids.


Recent & Upcoming Earth-asteroid encounters:
Asteroid
Date(UT)
Miss Distance
Size
2015 QT3
Aug 28
4.2 LD
71 m
2015 PT227
Aug 29
9.7 LD
69 m
2004 BO41
Aug 31
57.3 LD
1.2 km
1991 CS
Sep 4
62.1 LD
1.4 km
2014 KS76
Sep 14
8.7 LD
22 m
2004 TR12
Sep 15
58.8 LD
1.0 km
2000 FL10
Oct 10
65.7 LD
1.9 km
2011 QD48
Oct 17
67.5 LD
1.0 km
2014 UR
Oct 18
3.8 LD
21 m
2011 SE97
Oct 18
12 LD
50 m
2001 UY4
Oct 21
58.2 LD
1.0 km


Notes: LD means “Lunar Distance.” 1 LD = 384,401 km, the distance between Earth and the Moon. 1 LD also equals 0.00256 AU. MAG is the visual magnitude of the asteroid on the date of closest approach.


Current Conditions


Solar wind

speed: 428.9 km/sec

density: 3.0 protons/cm3
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 1529 UT


X-ray Solar Flares

6-hr max: C1
0939 UT Aug30

24-hr: M1
0336 UT Aug30
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at: 1500 UT


Daily Sun: 29 Aug 15



Sunspot AR2403 has a ‘beta-gamma-delta’ magnetic field that harbors energy for X-class solar flares. So far, however, this large sunspot has not lived up to its potential for strong flares. Credit: SDO/HMI


Sunspot number: 50
What is the sunspot number?
Updated 29 Aug 2015


Spotless Days

Current Stretch: 0 days

2015 total: 0 days (0%)


2014 total: 1 day (<1%)

2013 total: 0 days (0%)

2012 total: 0 days (0%)

2011 total: 2 days (<1%)

2010 total: 51 days (14%)

2009 total: 260 days (71%)


Updated 29 Aug 2015


The Radio Sun

10.7 cm flux: 109 sfu
explanation | more data

Updated 29 Aug 2015


Current Auroral Oval:



Switch to: Europe, USA, New Zealand, Antarctica
Credit: NOAA/Ovation


Planetary K-index

Now: Kp= 1 quiet

24-hr max: Kp= 2
quiet
explanation | more data


Interplanetary Mag. Field

Btotal: 4.9 nT

Bz: 1.2 nT south
explanation | more data
Updated: Today at 1530 UT


Coronal Holes: 29 Aug 15



Earth is inside a stream of solar wind flowing from the indicated coronal hole. Credit: SDO/AIA.


Noctilucent Clouds


The northern season for NLCs is underway–but not for much longer. According to NASA’s AIM spacecraft, noctilucent clouds are waning as August comes to a close.



Switch view: Europe, USA, Asia, Polar


Updated at: 08-23-2015 16:55:02


NOAA Forecasts


Updated at: 2015 Aug 29 2200 UTC


FLARE
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
CLASS M
55 %
40 %
CLASS X
10 %
05 %


Geomagnetic Storms:
Probabilities for significant disturbances in Earth’s magnetic field are given for three activity levels: active, minor storm, severe storm


Updated at: 2015 Aug 29 2200 UTC


Mid-latitudes
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
ACTIVE
20 %
15 %
MINOR
05 %
01 %
SEVERE
01 %
01 %


High latitudes
0-24 hr
24-48 hr
ACTIVE
15 %
15 %
MINOR
25 %
25 %
SEVERE
30 %
20 %







Space Weather Update: 08/30/2015

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